High Probability Of Severe Weather Tonight & This Afternoon:

According to the National Weather Service, southern Minnesota is expected to see a high probability of severe weather this tonight and this afternoon.

Although the National Weather Service predicts that any storms that form later today will intensify swiftly, there is some uncertainty regarding their development. Tonight, between the hours of 5 and 10 pm, there will be a higher likelihood of severe thunderstorms.

This afternoon, sporadic storms could form, and by evening, they could be widespread. Heavy rain, destructive gusts, and large hail could all result in isolated street flooding.

The weather forecaster said it’s also possible that a massive hurricane will appear in the next two to three days if the condition doesn’t change. 

What Do Storm Prediction Center Professionals Say?

According to the experts, the Slight Risk Area at the Storm Prediction Center has been revised to only cover the extreme southwest portion of Lower Michigan. There will be a marginal risk in the regions south of a line running from Manistee to Saginaw to Toledo.

Additionally, some of the Upper Mississippi Valley and southwest Great Lakes regions may experience a few tornadoes and sporadic destructive winds from this afternoon through this evening.

All of the morning and afternoon parades took place under favorable weather. This afternoon or tonight, a region of showers and storms will pass over eastern Wisconsin before crossing Lake Michigan.

According to experts, there is a probability of rain or thunderstorm in the late afternoon, but the likelihood of storms is higher in the evening and particularly overnight.

What The Waves Will Move When They’re Amped:

The Pacific Northwest, northern Rockies/Plains, and central Canada may experience an enhanced shortwave trough this weekend, as per better medium-range forecasting.

This feature should partially inhibit the upper ridge, leaving sections of the northern Plains in Canada open to surface cyclogenesis. Powerful instability that occurs with daytime heating may lead to the development of strong thunderstorms throughout portions of these regions every afternoon or evening.

Greater severe potential should be associated with weak, low-amplitude shortwave troughs that cross the ridge’s summit before moving east-southeastward. At this point, it is still challenging to put and evolve these features, some of which should be convectively induced or amplified.

From Day 6/Saturday through Day 7/Sunday, the shortwave trough may pass over these areas, resulting in an organized severe thunderstorm episode.

A portion of the northern Plains and possibly the Upper Midwest may eventually require 15 percent severe areas for both days if the timing and evolution of this feature continue to follow the forecast.

So prepared yourself in case the weather goes very bad. But there is some positive news: the overall risk of severe weather is low. On Monday morning, the lakeshore was elevated to a level 2 of 5 risk.